Long-Term Seminar: Super Perforcasting
NB: full. Please contact aksel@langsikt.no to be informed if there are any vacancies.
Welcome to the Long-Term Seminar! Where research and ideas turn into policy solutions.
At the Long-Term Seminar on February 9, we invite you to a workshop on forecasting methods to improve accuracy in uncertain decisions. The team behind a new study arrives to present a proposal for a research design. The team consists of Cathrine Holst, Paal Kvarberg, Jon Rosén and Ole Hegle Sjøflot. The goal is to estimate both the cost and benefit of forecasting methods, based on Tetlock's research on superforecasters. Such methods promise more precise decisions, more transparent processes and can ensure the legitimacy of policy decisions based on expert recommendations. But do they keep what they promise? How do we study this in the best possible way? If you want to learn more about forecasting and want to join the development of the study, come to this year's first Long Term Seminar!
What is the Long Term Seminar? The seminar is a meeting place to discuss ideas for long-term policy. The format is that the initiator presents for 20-30 minutes. The rest goes along for discussion. The seminar can be used to present research works, but we also welcome introductions to new ideas, concepts and technologies, presentation of unpublished and published reports, parliamentary announcements and research reviews. Despite the variety, there is a goal for all seminars to be policy-oriented. If you have something you want to present, just contact Aksel Sterri at aksel@langsikt.no.
NB: There are limited number of places to ensure a small forum and active participation.